Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-13 0.012599 0.014262 0.015949 0.017782 0.019712 0.021678 0.023827
2025-04-20 0.009561 0.012156 0.014925 0.018064 0.021493 0.025099 0.029152
2025-04-27 0.007182 0.010241 0.013662 0.017684 0.022208 0.027077 0.032658
2025-05-04 0.005371 0.008649 0.012493 0.017165 0.022554 0.028466 0.035347
2025-05-11 0.004341 0.007815 0.012062 0.017364 0.023596 0.030530 0.038689
2025-05-18 0.003365 0.006899 0.011418 0.017215 0.024159 0.031987 0.041289
2025-05-25 0.002438 0.005892 0.010554 0.016716 0.024240 0.032835 0.043149
2025-06-01 0.001755 0.005106 0.009889 0.016393 0.024475 0.033815 0.045118
2025-06-08 0.001191 0.004375 0.009220 0.016008 0.024590 0.034618 0.046851
2025-06-15 0.000845 0.003923 0.008889 0.016020 0.025160 0.035933 0.049151
2025-06-22 0.000491 0.003321 0.008278 0.015619 0.025187 0.036578 0.050654
2025-06-29 0.000192 0.002626 0.007441 0.014859 0.024723 0.036607 0.051408
2025-07-06 0.000010 0.001857 0.006418 0.013860 0.024023 0.036456 0.052094
2025-07-13 NaN 0.001639 0.006320 0.014184 0.025064 0.038468 0.055405
2025-07-20 NaN 0.001237 0.005802 0.013858 0.025232 0.039397 0.057418
2025-07-27 NaN 0.000864 0.005231 0.013399 0.025190 0.040041 0.059070
2025-08-03 NaN 0.000707 0.005086 0.013575 0.025987 0.041720 0.061959
2025-08-10 NaN 0.000507 0.004765 0.013444 0.026347 0.042838 0.064158
2025-08-17 NaN 0.000293 0.004280 0.013001 0.026253 0.043365 0.065624
2025-08-24 NaN 0.000156 0.003910 0.012715 0.026355 0.044126 0.067362
2025-08-31 NaN 0.000058 0.003532 0.012375 0.026359 0.044746 0.068916
2025-09-07 NaN 0.000020 0.003360 0.012386 0.026854 0.045991 0.071232
2025-09-14 NaN NaN 0.003010 0.012033 0.026804 0.046519 0.072653